[ RETURN TO WATCH LIST ]TRADE & DIVERSIFICATION • PROVINCIAL • STATCAN 12-10-0175-01
[FIG 09] • REGIONAL ASYMMETRY • STATCAN Tables 12-10-0175-01 & 12-10-0173-01
Provincial Export Gravity & Geographic Concentration
“How unevenly is American trade gravity distributed across Canadian provinces?” — This tracker measures export dependence on the United States and market diversification across Canadian provinces.
OBSERVATION: Aug 2024
SOURCE RELEASE: 2026-02-19
RETRIEVED: 2026-09-20
[ REGIONAL ASYMMETRY FINDING ]: Canada does not have a single trade relationship with the United States. Alberta (89.7% U.S. share) and Ontario (63.9%) rely heavily on American pipeline and industrial networks. British Columbia (50.9%) and Saskatchewan (52.6%) maintain diversified Pacific and agricultural corridors to China, Japan, and India (Neff = 4.45 compared to 1.20).
NATIONAL U.S. SHARE
74.9%
Non-U.S. Rest of World:25.1%
$43.6B CAD of $58.2B CAD
HIGHEST U.S. DEPENDENCE
89.7%
Province:Alberta
Heavy crude pipeline & energy integration
ONTARIO + ALBERTA WEIGHT
60.6%
Two-Province Hegemony:60%+ of National Total
Auto assembly (ON) & bitumen extraction (AB)
MAX DIVERSIFICATION (PACIFIC)
Neff = 4.45
Lowest U.S. Exposure:Newfoundland and Labrador (36.6%)
Mining & trans-Pacific agricultural flows
EMPIRICAL OBSERVATION • 10 PROVINCES + 3 TERRITORIES
American Trade Gravity Across Provincial Economies
REGION:
| Province / Territory | Region | Total Exports | U.S. Share | Largest Non-U.S. Partner | Neff | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ONOntario | Central | $20,404.6M | 74.0% | United Kingdom(26.0% • $6104M) | 2.07 | |
ABAlberta | Prairies | $14,892.1M | 89.7% | China(8.6% • $1350M) | 1.37 | |
QCQuebec | Central | $9,426.3M | 74.0% | Netherlands(3.9% • $364M) | 1.77 | |
BCBritish Columbia | Pacific | $4,355M | 55.3% | China(20.0% • $927M) | 3.05 | |
SKSaskatchewan | Prairies | $3,455.3M | 63.1% | China(11.8% • $423M) | 2.56 | |
NLNewfoundland and Labrador | Atlantic | $1,949.9M | 36.6% | Netherlands(16.7% • $313M) | 4.45 | |
NBNew Brunswick | Atlantic | $1,612.3M | 88.1% | Norway(3.5% • $55M) | 1.20 | |
MBManitoba | Prairies | $1,554.9M | 65.8% | Japan(7.4% • $106M) | 1.88 | |
NSNova Scotia | Atlantic | $591.2M | 67.5% | China(7.2% • $39M) | 1.84 | |
NUNunavut | Territories | $284.1M | 0.0% | Switzerland(96.7% • $275M) | 1.07 | |
PEPrince Edward Island | Atlantic | $208.5M | 69.0% | Spain(2.5% • $5M) | 1.59 | |
YTYukon | Territories | $39.5M | 38.2% | South Korea(61.4% • $24M) | 1.90 | |
NTNorthwest Territories | Territories | $0.1M | 0.0% | None recorded(0.0% • $0M) | 1.00 |
PRIMARY DATASETS: STATCAN TABLES 12-10-0175-01 & 12-10-0173-01 • MONTHLY TELEMETRY
SOURCE: Statistics Canada (Table 12-10-0175-01 (Merchandise Trade by Province & Principal Trading Partners) & Table 12-10-0173-01 (Annual NAPCS Sections))
LAST UPDATED OBSERVATION: Aug 2024